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  "citation": "Taylor, B. P. (2026). Practice: Futures and probes: test robustness without pretending to predict. The Necessary Tangle, release 0.35. https://transduction.systems/entries/practice_lab_futures_and_probes/",
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    "summary": "Compare options across explicit scenarios, then design more than one bounded learning probe. A bridge to apprenticeship duties 8-10. Scenario analysis, sensitivity testing and safe-to-fail probes are distinct activities; none is a guarantee about the future.",
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    "why_it_matters": "A concrete rehearsal with a fictional case, explicit outputs and a way to inspect the result.",
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      "Calculate the initial capacity gap under each demand scenario.",
      "State what is needed before choosing an option.",
      "Design two parallel probes for different explanations of avoidance.",
      "Define sensing, dampening and amplification before acting."
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      "A worked comparison is not the only acceptable answer to an open question."
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    "editorial_note": "Prepared with AI assistance. Publication authorised by Benjamin P Taylor. No independent specialist review or source-provider endorsement is claimed.",
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